Intraday Trading Strategy for USD/CHF – April 25, 2025

Market Overview of USD/CHF

The USD/CHF pair has been in a steady downtrend over the past few weeks, hitting a multi-year low of 0.8036 earlier this month. However, as of today, the pair is attempting a modest recovery, trading near 0.8250. This rebound follows some U.S. economic optimism and speculation over potential Swiss National Bank (SNB) intervention to curb excessive CHF strength.

Current Market Sentiment

• Risk Appetite: Slightly improved, favoring a short-term USD rebound.

• Swiss Franc Bias: Still favored as a safe-haven currency.

• Dollar Bias: Firming due to better-than-expected U.S. PMI data.

Technical Outlook for USD/CHF Trading in Asia

USD/CHF remains technically weak on higher timeframes, though short-term indicators suggest an intraday bounce may continue if resistance levels are breached.

• Trend: Bearish (short-term bullish correction possible)

• Momentum: Neutral to bullish (intraday)

• Volatility: Moderate

Key Technical Levels for USD/CHF

Support Levels:

• 0.8100 – Strong recent intraday support

• 0.8036 – Multi-year low

• 0.8000 – Psychological level

Resistance Levels:

• 0.8300 – Intraday resistance

• 0.8365 – Technical hurdle on the H4 chart

• 0.8400 – Psychological barrier and potential trend reversal zone

Indicators and Chart Patterns

• RSI (14): 48 – Neutral zone, but trending up

• MACD: Bullish crossover on M30 chart

• 200 EMA (H1): Price approaching from below; a key breakout signal

• Candlestick Formation: Bullish engulfing on M15 near 0.8200

Intraday Trading Strategy for USD/CHF Trading in Asia

🔼 Bullish Intraday Setup

• Entry: Buy above 0.8300 on confirmed breakout

• Take Profit: 0.8365 (TP1), 0.8400 (TP2)

• Stop Loss: 0.8250

• Rationale: If momentum sustains above 0.8300, buyers may retest upper zones.

🔽 Bearish Intraday Setup

• Entry: Sell near 0.8300 on rejection/wick reversal pattern

• Take Profit: 0.8150 (TP1), 0.8100 (TP2)

• Stop Loss: 0.8355

• Rationale: A failure to break above 0.8300 suggests continuation of the broader downtrend.

USD/CHF Scalping Strategy

• Timeframe: M5/M15

• Buy Zone: Between 0.8200–0.8230 (look for bullish candle close)

• Sell Zone: Near 0.8285–0.8300 (look for doji or pin bar)

• Target: 10–20 pips

• SL: 10–12 pips

Fundamental Factors to Watch of USD/CHF

• Swiss National Bank (SNB) Comments: Any indication of FX intervention could cause CHF weakness.

• US Economic Data: Durable goods, jobless claims, and GDP figures will influence USD strength.

• Geopolitical Events: Continued tensions in Eastern Europe or the Middle East could favor the Swiss Franc.

• Global Bond Yields: Rising U.S. yields could push USD higher against CHF.

Economic Calendar – April 25, 2025 (Key Events)

Risk Management Strategies of USD/CHF

• Trade Size: Limit exposure to 1–2% per trade.

• Stop Placement: Always based on volatility and support/resistance structure.

• Avoid Trading During News Releases: Volatility spikes can trigger false breakouts.

• Use Trailing Stops: To secure profits during intraday swings.

Multi-Timeframe Confirmation

• M5–M15: Shows bullish momentum building.

• H1: Reversal signals emerging, but still under major resistance.

• H4: Overall downtrend intact; use higher TFs to avoid trading against the dominant trend.

Final Thoughts

USD/CHF is at a potential inflection point, where a breakout above 0.8300 could lead to a meaningful intraday rally. However, traders should remain cautious, as the long-term trend remains bearish, and CHF is still backed by strong demand. Effective risk management and confirmation through multi-timeframe analysis are crucial.