Intraday Trading Strategy for EUR/USD– April 15, 2025

The EUR/USD pair has shown increased volatility following mixed macroeconomic data from both the Eurozone and the U.S. As traders eye potential breakouts, this guide offers a complete intraday trading strategy with special attention to the Asian session, supported by technical analysis, chart levels, and risk management.

🌍 Fundamental and Technical Analysis for EUR/USD Trading

Fundamental Drivers:

• U.S. Economy: Services PMI data has softened to 50.8, hinting at potential growth concerns. Market participants are watching for the Fed’s tone on interest rates, with expectations of a rate cut by mid-year.

• Eurozone Updates: Germany and France reported slight improvements in factory output. The ECB remains cautious, focusing on inflation containment.

• Geopolitical Factors: Ongoing tariff talks and energy market dynamics may add volatility.

Technical Overview:

• EUR/USD is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle, showing signs of a breakout.

• Momentum is gradually building, and volume is increasing near resistance levels.

📉 Key Technical Levels for EUR/USD Trading

🌅 Potential Trade Setup for EUR/USD Trading in Asia

Buy Setup (Bullish Bias):

• Entry: Above 1.1110 (confirmed breakout with strong candle)

• Take Profit Targets:

  • TP1: 1.1145

  • TP2: 1.1175

• Stop Loss: Below 1.1075

Sell Setup (Bearish Bias):

• Entry: Below 1.1010

• Take Profit Targets:

  • TP1: 1.0975

  • TP2: 1.0943

• Stop Loss: Above 1.1040

🕔 Note: Asian session tends to be range-bound; breakout trades may trigger during London open. Use tighter stop-losses and smaller positions in early Asia.

📊 Intraday Trading Strategy for EUR/USD Trading in Asia

1. Session Characteristics:

   • Lower volume, tighter ranges

   • Best for range-bound or breakout anticipation setups

2. Strategy Type:

   • Look for breakouts of previous session highs/lows

   • Watch Tokyo open volatility for directional clues

3. Asian Session Range Play:

   • Buy near 1.1015 – 1.1025, sell near 1.1100 – 1.1110 if no breakout

   • Avoid trading during consolidation without volume

📈 Technical Indicators to Watch

• RSI (14): Currently at 57, showing bullish momentum but not overbought

• Stochastic Oscillator: Rising from oversold — buy signal confirmation

• MACD: Bullish crossover observed on the 1-hour chart

• Volume Profile: Higher activity near 1.1060 suggests it as a key pivot area

• Moving Averages:

  • 50 EMA is above 200 EMA on H1 chart (bullish structure)

  • Price is supported by the 20 EMA on lower timeframes

📌 Trade Triggers to Monitor

• Break of triangle pattern with a full-bodied candle close

• RSI holding above 50 and MACD maintaining positive divergence

• U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) movements around the 101.50 support zone

• Eurozone economic calendar and ECB commentary

💡 Trading Tips for EUR/USD Intraday Traders

• Trade breakouts with volume confirmation

• Avoid over-leveraging during low liquidity (early Asia hours)

• Use economic calendars to avoid trading during high-impact events

• Let trades breathe — don’t panic on minor pullbacks if trend structure holds

⚠️ Risk Management Strategies in Trading

1. Position Sizing:

   • Risk 1-2% of total capital per trade

2. Stop-Loss Placement:

   • Place SL based on ATR (Average True Range) or just outside key levels

3. Avoid Overtrading:

   • Limit to 2–3 quality setups per session

4. Use of Alerts:

   • Set price alerts near 1.1013 and 1.1110 to prepare for trade decisions

5. Trade Journal:

   • Log entries, exits, outcomes to improve future strategies

🧠 Final Thoughts and Conclusion

The EUR/USD pair is currently presenting a compelling case for intraday traders, with technical indicators aligning with a potential bullish breakout while fundamental factors continue to support a softer U.S. dollar narrative. However, the market remains sensitive to economic data releases and central bank commentary, making it essential to stay updated throughout the trading day.

Traders should closely monitor the 1.1110 resistance for signs of a bullish continuation. A confirmed breakout could see price move swiftly toward 1.1175, especially if supported by volume and macro sentiment. Conversely, failure at this level may trigger a short-term correction toward 1.1013 or even 1.0943 in a risk-off scenario.

In the Asian session, where volatility is typically lower, traders are encouraged to focus on range trading strategies or prepare for breakouts that may occur during the London open. Patience, proper risk management, and clear confirmation signals remain key to navigating today’s market conditions successfully.

✅ Key Takeaways:

• Bullish bias above 1.1110; bearish potential below 1.1010

• Trade with clear confirmation and tight stop-losses

• Stay alert for economic data from both the Eurozone and U.S.

Whether you prefer momentum breakouts or range-bound scalping, today’s EUR/USD setup provides solid opportunities—as long as you trade the levels, not the noise.