• Sat. Jul 20th, 2024

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Oscillates in a range below the 1.2500 mark, eyes on UK GDP, US CPI

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  • GBP/USD oscillates in the 1.2480-1.2502 region in a trading band.
  • The pair holds below the 50- and 100-hour EMAs on the one-hour chart; the RSI stands below 50. 
  • The critical resistance level is seen at the 1.2500-1.2505 zone; 1.2460 acts as an initial support level. 

The GBP/USD pair consolidates in a familiar range below the 1.2500 barrier during the Asian session on Wednesday. The major pair currently trades near 1.2488, losing 0.01% on the day. Market players prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for July and the highly anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. These figures could trigger the volatility in the pair.

The Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Catherine Mann remarked on Monday that it was too early for the central bank to pause interest rates and that it was better for the central bank to err on the side of rising rates too high rather than suspending them too soon. The hawkish comments by BoE governors may restrict the British Pound’s fall and serve as a tailwind for GBP/USD.

About the data, the UK’s Office for National Statistics reported on Tuesday that the UK Unemployment Rate in the three months to July came in at 4.3% from 4.2% in the previous reading, in line with the market consensus.

From the technical perspective, GBP/USD holds below the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the one-hour chart, which means further downside looks favorable. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands below 50, within bearish territory, suggesting that sellers are likely to retain control in the near term.

The critical resistance level for GBP/USD emerges at the 1.2500-1.2505 region, presenting a confluence of the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band, a psychological round figure, and the 100-hour EMA. The additional upside filter is located at 1.2530 (a high of September 12). Further north, 1.2548 will be the next barrier for the pair, followed by a psychological mark at 1.2600.

On the downside, any follow-through selling below the lower limit of the Bollinger Band and a low of September 12 at 1.2460 will challenge the next contention at 1.2440 (a low of May 12) en route to 1.2390 (a low of June 6) and finally at 1.2350 (a low of May 31).

GBP/USD one-hour chart



Today last price 1.2489
Today Daily Change -0.0001
Today Daily Change % -0.01
Today daily open 1.249
Daily SMA20 1.2624
Daily SMA50 1.2753
Daily SMA100 1.2656
Daily SMA200 1.243
Previous Daily High 1.2531
Previous Daily Low 1.2459
Previous Weekly High 1.2643
Previous Weekly Low 1.2446
Previous Monthly High 1.2841
Previous Monthly Low 1.2548
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2487
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2504
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2456
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2422
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2385
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2527
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2565
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2599



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